Economic Update (McLean's Market Musings)
Posted by: Jason McLean
on Jan 12, 2012
Another US long weekend is upon us with Martin Luther King Day falling on Monday, January 16th. After an unusually busy holiday period for real estate and mortgages, we may see some decent activity from US clients this weekend. Please remember that for qualifying US residents, financing is available at up to 80% on the first $750k (and 60% of the remaining balance)at very good rates.
In Europe this week, successful bond auctions in Italy & Spain saw significant decreases in yields which will result in more manageable debt servicing costs for both countries. This positive development may be tempered by new concerns about negative economic indicators coming out of Germany. Possible recessionary signs in the EU’s strongest economy will make the markets continue to be nervous until more sustained positive news comes out of the region. To that end the European Central Bank did not move interest today but many pundits are calling for the lowering of rates at their next announcement.
In Canada, a couple of the big banks are warning of potential decreasing house prices in Toronto and Vancouver. As I see it, the good news in this is that Whistler has already seen price decreases and should be a good place for long term capital appreciation when compared to most markets in Canada. Some of the major lenders have started to further decrease fixed rates. This may become relatively short term rate war with consumers winning if they are able to take advantage within the applicable time period. Variable rates remain relatively high when compared to fixed rates and are currently not a good option for most clients. Canadian dollar is still hovering around $0.98 but despite recent signs of stability, expect to see volatility return over the next few months.
Jason McLean AMP
jason@garibaldimortgage.com

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